Sept PPI +1.3% vs 0.6% est, retail sales +0.8% vs 0.3%, 15 Oct

By TradeDesk HQ editorial desk · Oct 15, 2026 · 8:50 AM ET · Original post on X

The short answer

JUST IN: Sept PPI +1.3% vs 0.6% est, retail +0.8% vs 0.3%.

Key figures (as reported)

Core PPI m/m: +0.7%, hotter than +0.3% est (prior +0.2%)
Retail ex-autos m/m: +0.9%, faster than +0.6% est (prior +1.4%)
Wholesale prices and spending rose well above forecast, adding pressure for a Fed hike.
Trader read: hot producer prices often lift forecasts for core PCE, the Fed's preferred gauge → rate markets tend to reprice hike expectations → ZN and NQ futures tend to see wider ranges.

Bar chart, Sept PPI, retail: PPI +1.3%, hotter than the +0.6% est (prior +0.5%); Core PPI +0.7%, hotter than the +0.3% est (prior +0.2%); Retail ex-auto +0.9%, faster than the +0.6% est (prior +1.4%).

Sources

bls.gov
bls.gov
census.gov

All figures are taken from the sources above; we do not estimate or add numbers. Spotted an error? Reply to the post on X; corrections are published as "CORRECTION:" quotes.

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